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Certification: modeled odds against a real prop-firm evaluation

Certification replays your strategy against a specific evaluation's rules — profit target, daily loss limit, trailing vs static drawdown, time limit — thousands of times, stepping trade by trade, and reports the modeled pass odds.

Enter your firm's rules

Certification configuration form with prop-firm rules

Load a preset, then edit any rule to match your firm's current terms. Presets are generic models of common industry structures, not the official rules of any firm — always verify terms directly with your firm.

Read the answer with its costs

Certification result with pass probability, bust rate, months and fees

The headline is the modeled probability of eventually passing — but read the whole row: the bust rate along the way, the typical months to resolve, the estimated evaluation fees, and which rule does the busting (trailing drawdown vs daily loss). Know this before paying for an eval, not after.

Outcomes donut and days-to-pass distribution

The days-to-pass distribution sets expectations: what a normal month looks like, and how long is long enough to suspect something has changed.

The certificate

First page of the Prop-Firm Certification Report

Open the full report → Print / Save as PDF. Every stage's verdict on one page: walk-forward, audit, perturbation, the exact rules tested, and the modeled pass odds — with the methodology and its limits stated on the document.

These figures are hypothetical, model-based estimates — not a prediction or guarantee that any strategy will be profitable or that any evaluation will be passed. A pass estimate does not guarantee passing any firm's evaluation or keeping any funded account.